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Global warming is often taken by those unfamiliar with complex systems as a gradual warming uniformly across the world - temperatures go up by one or two or three degrees, which pushes summer up a little bit. However, this assumption can be dangerously naive. Global Warming is actually causing cooling to occur in certain portions of the world, even as the average temperature increases. What changes is something more important - the amount of energy in the system.
Complex systems are not random ones. Rather, they form regions of quasi-stability, where a particular whether pattern become apparent. Until fairly recently, the weather patterns in the Gulf of Mexico have had a certain pattern - storms would form in the Atlantic (largely because of heat, sand and contaminants picked up in the growing Sahara desert) and would move into the Caribbean, where the reasonably warm Caribbean water created a thermal gradient called a convection cell, in which cold air pushed down into a column of cold air, hit the warm Caribbean water, expanded outward as it was heated, rose in a donut shape back into the upper troposphere, where it then cools again and the pattern repeats. Because of Coriolis effects, this also begins spinning, and as more energy moves through the torus, the spin becomes faster. This is the basis of all cyclonic weather systems (i.e., most storms).
Once that Cyclone hits land, the energy that sustained it (the warm water) disappears, and the storm begins to lose energy. Usually, by the time it makes it way more than a few hundred miles, the storm has lost enough energy that it can't maintain the central column of air, and the storm dissipates. Usually. But not this time. This time, Ivan had SO MUCH energy, due to the extraordinary warmth of the Carribean, that it managed to maintain its cohesiveness even after making its way up to Pennsylvania, and once over the (warming) Atlantic, was able to reconstitute itself.
The Earth rotates, and that rotation in turn drags on storms and moves them into large circulation systems. Because most storms in the past haven't had that much energy, they fall apart far before they are significantly affected by the effect. Yet somewhere along the line, we may have entered into a new regime, a new semi-stable weather pattern, which is most ominous. If cyclones have enough energy to make a complete circuit of the Carribean circulation cell, then you have the possibility of a storm becoming a "repeat offender", persisting as a distinct entity for two, three, or four passes before entropy finally tears them apart.
What's worse, as storms re-enter the Carribbean, there is an increasing likelihood that a new storm can "cannibalize" the remaining energy of an older storm, with the effect that a Category 3 Storm gets bumped to Category 4 or 5 with regular frequency, and the likelihood increases of hypothetical Category 6, which would, by extension, have sustained winds in excess of 180 mph. To put this into perspective, Ivan's "sustained" winds topped out at 165 mph, but there were gusts within the storm that well exceeded 210 mph. A category 6 storm would have gusts in excess of 230 mph, which puts it into the regime of damage caused by a tornado (not to mention that storms of this magnetude would be spawning tornados by the dozens as such high "gusts" would be subject to incredible cyclonic pressures).
Average global temperatures have risen roughly 1 degree Celcius in the last twenty years. If existing trends continue, global temperatures will rise between three and ten degrees Celsius by the end of the century, with most computer models pointing toward the upper end of this range. That's energy going into creating even hotter water in the Caribbean and consequently even more powerful storms there. This raises the possibility of a permanent cyclonic band forming over the Southeast US, with hurricanes becoming weekly occurrences from March until November. Not a pleasant thought, to be sure ....
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What is the history of temperature levels in the Carribean. It seams that to the educated layman that the high temperatures in that body of water is increasing. Is this a short term trend or a long term problem? This is a very important question since we can not, given the present political and economic structure, deal with two or three mega-storms disrupting the golf every year.
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Great blog on extra income jobs. I've stumbled on a superb money making website. Linkreferral is free to join and drives traffic to your website in an inivitive way (the more sites you visit, the more links you get back to your website.)
I've only been a member of Linkreferral for aproximately 2 weeks but I have already seen the volume of people coming to my site double - if not treble.
Linkreferral is not only driving visitors to my website but as a result my affiliate sales income has doubled also.
I really cannot push this website enough. It is free and it is fantastic!! www.linkreferral.com is a must for money making opportunities online.
Nice blog!! I'm into money making scams and to drive traffic to my website I signed up free for this superb traffic gereating tool - I now have loads of hits to my websites and blogs. This can see your affiliate commission shoot through the roof - meaning lots of extra money coming in for you and your family. Sign up now - it's free.. Best of luck, cheers for now, dave.
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Good blog - very interesting!! Thought you might like some excellent advice on driving extra traffic to your website/blog - I'm into internet marketing online advertising and to drive traffic to my website I was searching around the internet for absolutely ages looking for SEO tools to fire my site up the Google search engine, then I signed up free for this superb traffic gereating tool - I now have loads of hits to my websites/blogs and my site is shooting up the Google rankings quicker than ever before.
Consequently this can see your affiliate commissions shoot through the roof - meaning lots of extra money coming in for you and your family. Sign up now - it's free.. Sorry if this information is of no use to you but seeing as you have the anonymous feature enabled I thought I should share this free bit of essential promotional advice with you and would hope you would do the same for me.
I hope the tool will serve you equally as well as it has me!!
Best of luck, cheers for now, dave.
Hey, has anyone seen this new site about small business. It's pretty good!
Come and check it out if you get time :-)
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Hi
Sorry to intrude but I saw your blog, noticed you have anonymous posting enabled and thought you might be interested in this great search engine optimization tool for your blog and website (if you have one) that a techi mate recommended to me. Apparently it's all the rage in the IT arena.
I am involved in affiliate internet marketing super and I've found the best way of promoting my blogs and websites is The amazing link referral program. Don't worry it is absolutely free to join and you can generate visitors to your site by visiting others. It is really quick and easy to set up and the traffic you generate will help your website increase in google ranking. Give it a go now!!
I have generated amazing traffic from this program - increasing my affiliate sales and cannot recommend this enough. Believe me, if you have tried all the other programs on the market that you have had to pay for then you realise this one is the best - and it's free!!!
Best of luck with the blog!! I hope you get as much out of this program as I have ;-)
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Hi matey
I'm sure it was this blog I was reading a while back where someone was looking for an SEO tool for driving more traffic and get more hits for their website.
Anyway, I was speaking to a techi guy at work who gets to know all the latest stuff and he uses the free Link Referral Program.
His website on build large level marketing multi organization successful amongst other stuff has seen traffic explode since he started using the Link Referral Program - consequently his affiliate sales commissions and business sales went through the roof PLUS his website increased in google ranking which was an added bonus!!
If anyone else has any good ideas for driving more traffic to blogs/websites then please share with your online business blog buddies. Ta ;-)
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Hi matey
I'm sure it was this blog I was reading a while back where someone was looking for an SEO tool for driving more traffic and get more hits for their website.
Anyway, I was speaking to a techi guy at work who gets to know all the latest stuff and he uses the free Link Referral Program at http://marketingexperts.wordpress.com.
His website on free seo tool amongst other stuff has seen traffic explode since he started using the Link Referral Program - consequently his affiliate sales commissions and business sales went through the roof PLUS his website increased in google ranking which was an added bonus!!
If anyone else has any good ideas for driving more traffic to blogs/websites then please share with your online business blog buddies. Ta ;-)
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